One Nation has surged to become the most popular party in Victoria as its wave of support spreads across Australia.

One Nation would secure 26 per cent of the primary vote in Victoria if a federal election were held today, according to Sky News’ April 7 Pulse poll, conducted by YouGov. 

A six-point gain places the party ahead of Labor at 25 per cent and the Coalition at 21 per cent.

It means One Nation is the most popular party in two states after coming out ahead of Labor in Queensland in the last poll.

The result marks a dramatic surge in support since last month’s polling, when One Nation ran third to the major parties.  

In the March 25 Pulse poll, Labor led Victorians’ primary vote on 30 per cent, with the Coalition on 25 per cent, whilst One Nation trailed both at 20 per cent. 

The seismic shift could spell trouble for the major parties come Victoria’s state election later this year. 

If Victorians’ votes mirrored the federal polling, the state could be left with a hung parliament. 

Experts are already tipping preference deals will be crucial in determining a winner on November 28. 

Jacinta Allan’s Labor Party will look to defend what has been an 11-year reign in Victoria.  

Ms Allan has faced sharp criticism for her handling of major issues in recent months.  

Allegations of corruption in the building union have haunted her party’s hallmark Big Build project.  

A tumultuous bushfire season also caused enduring headaches as the state government was blamed for a lack of preparedness across Victoria.  

Just this week, a probe into the government’s handling was revealed to be delayed until further in the year.

Ahead of the election, first-term Liberal MP Jess Wilson successfully defeated leader Bratt Battin in a partyroom spill.

But Ms Wilson suffered a major blow in the eyes of voters last week as MP Moira Deeming lost her preselection for the Western Metropolitan seat to a candidate who provided a character reference to a child sex offender. 

Ms Deeming has since been returned to the ticket. 

Pauline Hanson, buoyed by an unprecedented result in South Australia, has indicated she plans to run candidates for lower house seats in the election as well.  

One Nation’s gains in Victoria come as the party continues to lead among Queenslanders with 29 per cent of the primary vote.  

It led in the Sunshine State with 36 per cent in the March 25 poll. 

One Nation faced its first test since its polling surged at the end of last year in the South Australian state election. 

The party clawed away four seats in Labor’s landslide win last month – Narungga, MacKillop, Hammond, and Ngadjuri. 

It comes as the Coalition has failed to exit third place nationally since Angus Taylor took the Liberal leadership, according to the Pulse data.  

The poll of 1,500 Australians, conducted between March 21 and April 7, found the Opposition’s primary vote only improved a single point on the previous poll. 

It retains just 20 per cent of voter intention.   

Labor rose two points to lead One Nation by four per cent of primary votes – 30 per cent to 26 per cent.  

Anthony Albanese's party won 34.6 per cent of the primary vote at the May 3 election in 2025.